Written on 12 Oct 2023
Credit flows into the real estate business have exceeded the annual growth rate of last year in the first seven months, amidst the situation where the bond market has "frozen" and the real estate sector is struggling with financial difficulties.
According to the data from the State Bank of Vietnam, the total outstanding loans for real estate reached approximately 2.7 quadrillion Vietnamese dong by the end of July, only a 5% increase compared to the beginning of the year, due to a sharp decline in demand for home and land loans. This debt balance accounted for 21% of the total credit in the economy.
In reality, credit flowing into the real estate sector consists of two components: consumer real estate loans and business real estate loans (focused on financing project investors, aiming to increase the supply in the market). Among them, the banking sector mainly disburses funds for consumer needs, such as home and land loans (accounting for 65% of total credit in the real estate sector). As of the end of July, the outstanding loans for home and land purchases decreased by 1.36% compared to the beginning of the year, reflecting the sluggish real estate market. Last year, outstanding loans for home and land purchases, as well as apartments, increased by a significant 31%.
While consumer demand for real estate has declined, banks have increased lending for real estate business, particularly focusing on the market supply by providing loans to project investors.
Data from the State Bank of Vietnam shows that the outstanding loans for real estate business reached 980 trillion Vietnamese dong by the end of July, a nearly 19% increase compared to the beginning of the year, surpassing the annual growth rate of the previous year (10.7%, equivalent to 100 trillion dong). Therefore, in the first seven months, over 150 trillion dong of banking capital flowed into the real estate business segment, accounting for nearly 30% of the total capital supplied to the economy.
The State Bank of Vietnam believes that these figures indicate that credit capital is concentrating on the supply side of the market, while the demand for credit to purchase consumer real estate for personal use is declining. This trend suggests that the legal difficulties of real estate projects are gradually being resolved, contributing to increasing the accessibility of credit for investors.
The bank increases lending to real estate investors in the context of the "frozen" bond market, as many businesses face difficulties due to poor market demand and struggle to manage their finances to repay their debts to bondholders.
According to the leadership of a bank, the sluggish corporate bond channel is one of the reasons that has led the real estate industry to turn to banks for capital in recent times. However, overall credit flow into the real estate sector in the first 7 months of the year remains relatively low due to a decrease in consumer demand.
The State Bank also stated that the non-performing loan ratio in the real estate sector is tending to increase. The non-performing loan ratio in the real estate sector at the end of July was 2.58%, significantly higher than the 1.8% recorded at the end of July last year.
In addition to real estate, according to the regulatory agency, credit flowing into other sectors in the first 7 months of the year reached approximately 9.75 quadrillion Vietnamese dong, also increasing at a low rate of 4.4% compared to the beginning of the year. This increase was mainly due to production and business activities and loans for personal use.
Small and medium-sized enterprises that have a need for borrowing face challenges in meeting business plan requirements, lack of financial transparency, and limited operational capacity. These factors make them categorized as high-risk customers.